Sunday 4 January 2015

Reliance Capital 05 Jan 2015: EW Perspective

I had written a brief post at Reliance Capital : Looks Bearish and while this time also I am going to be brief, I will touch upon three essential aspects of TA for Reliance Capitals.  These three aspects are posted at:

Reliance Capital : EW Perspective
Reliance Capitals : Wolfe Waves
Reliance Capital : Trend Lines

One of them is the current post.

EW Perspective : Monthly




EW Perspective : Weekly


EW Perspective : Daily
   



Monday 29 December 2014

Nifty 29 Dec 2015 : Critical Moves to Follow

8627 could be end of a large degree wave, the corrective may test 7723.  If 7723 is held bears may be mauled by carnivorous bulls.



One should also keep an eye on the WWs that are shown in the chart below. Both black Wolves are inactive at present and will be active below their respective baselines.  The red WW is still in the making and its 4 should end in the red oval without violating the red LTL.  But as I see it, the WWs may wait for a while but need to be monitored closely.





Trade as suited to each one of you.

Sunday 21 December 2014

NIfty 22 December 2014 : Can go either way.

The setup for tomorrow:


 

Possibilities

My fav : Can swing between 7900 and 8250.

 

Other bearish possibilities : Can take Nifty below 7500.






Possibility of a lateral 4th wave as CT :  Can keep moving between 7960 and 8500.

 


 Not to forget the aspirations of a new high, which I am not charting here.

Trade bearish, with SL of 8350 initially for a target of 7925/7800/7500
Trade bullish, with SL of 7960, at 8080 for a target of 8450/8550/8700+.......9200

I am expecting a bearish tone till mid Jan, then a rise till end feb to mid Mar and then a substantial drop.
God knows if a Harshad Mehta or Ketan Parekh will surface by then.  SEBI has already barred 260 entities from markets due suspicions of money laundering.

All the best.

Friday 19 December 2014

Reliance Capital : Looks Bearish

Reliance Capital looks to be in a bearish setup.  The channel has resistance around 495-498.  If held, it may rush to 435 or lower..  Here is the chart...

Reliance Capital : Bearish Setup

Update 02012015

Trendline Containment                 


APF Possibilities
 

Sunday 9 November 2014

DLF 10 November 2014 : What could cause a 61.15 fall.

DLF has been in news for a long time, courtesy Mr Robert Vadera, the famous or rather infamous son in law, and his associates.  I have written about DLF in past.  But the situation that is prevalent, prompted a review.

Most of the recent write ups on DLF are giving bullish sentiments.  Some saying 140 and some 150+ as their Target.  IMHP,  DLF is almost at the end of its current rise.  This correction has already entered the gap that was created on the day of recent fall and I find it difficult for DLF to stretch much beyond 138.

On Friday, I missed the news and shorted it at around 134 and kept wondering about the crisp rise that continued to sustain the entire day.

That brought me back to the charts and my perception is that it is ripe for another big dip of 61.15 or more from wherever it starts. The nearest low could be seen very close to the expiry day. Since 100.15 was the last low,  a short around 137 for a target below 100 (and when that happens, EW will mandate 61.2 for the fall)  with a SL of 140.25  may be attempted.

What would cause such fall is anybody's guess.  But as I have mentioned earlier, that TA at times tends to create news that no one expects.  Seems Vadera is in for a big run for his money.  Let us keep our fingers crossed.


PS.  I would love to have the views of the readers here on the central question.  Which is....What could cause a fall of 61.2 points in DLF in next 13.days?